Oct 18, 2020 | Political Climate
Our latest model run moves the presidential race in Texas to Toss Up and projects a narrow Democratic majority in the Texas House when the Legislature convenes in January. Another four Republican-held House seats are within 2 percentage points of potentially adding to...
Oct 15, 2020 | Campaign Finance
Congressional candidates on the general election ballot raised more than $60M during the third quarter of 2020. In a number of races – the U.S. Senate race an exception – the candidates’ fundraising totals exceeded the same period in 2018. SEN (Lean Republican):...
Oct 12, 2020 | Campaign News
Early voting for the November 3 general election begins tomorrow (Tuesday) and runs through October 30. Gov. Greg Abbott (R) extended the normally two-week early voting period to three weeks in response to the coronavirus pandemic. Harris Co. reported it has mailed...
Sep 17, 2020 | Campaign News
SD30 special (Safe Republican): Early voting continues for the September 29 special election to fill the unexpired term of Sen. Pat Fallon (R-Prosper). Through yesterday (Wednesday), the third day of the early voting period, fewer than 9K voters have cast ballots,...
Sep 1, 2020 | Campaign News
PRES: The latest Morning Consult poll of the state shows President Trump leading Democratic challenger Joe Biden, 48%-47%, virtually unchanged from its pre-convention poll (47%-46%). No other details were provided at the state level. At the national level, three...
Aug 26, 2020 | Campaign News
A divided Third Court of Appeals panel dismissed as moot Republican candidates and groups’ lawsuit seeking to remove several Libertarian candidates from the ballot for not paying filing fees required by recently enacted Sec. 141.041(a), Election Code. The court...
Aug 16, 2020 | Campaign News
The U.S. Postal Service warned Texas Secretary of State Ruth Hughes that there is a “significant risk” that lawfully requested mail ballots will not be returned in time to be counted. Voters “should submit their ballot request early enough so it is received by their...
Jul 22, 2020 | Campaign News, Political Climate
Coronavirus concerns may be having an impact on voters’ choices in November, according to a new Quinnipiac Univ. Texas Poll (pdf). Nearly two-thirds of voters believe the spread of the virus is “out of control,” and about the same percentage said they know someone who...
Jul 2, 2020 | Campaign News
A new University of Texas/Texas Politics Project poll finds President Trump leading presumptive Democratic nominee Joe Biden, 48%-44%. “Independents,” comprising 12% of respondents, preferred Trump, 41%-27%, with nearly a third undecided. The poll found a 10-point gap...
Jul 2, 2020 | Campaign Finance
Today (Thursday) was the deadline for federal candidates on the July 14 primary runoff ballot to file their pre-runoff reports. The reports disclose contributions received and expenditures made between April 1 and June 29.* Collectively, the runoff candidates raised...
Jun 28, 2020 | Campaign News
Early voting in person begins tomorrow (Monday) for the July 14 primary runoff and special elections. Voters in all 254 counties can participate in the Democratic runoff because of the statewide runoff for Railroad Commissioner. The Republican runoff is limited to all...
May 26, 2020 | By the Numbers
82% Winning percentage of runoff candidates who finished 10% or more ahead of their challenger in the primary election since 2002. There have been 175 “open” primary runoff elections for state, legislative and federal offices since 2002, and the candidate who finished...
