Ads, Polls and a Disavowal for September 4

A new Data for Progress survey (PDF) conducted entirely online finds Democratic challenger Joe Biden leading President Trump, 48%-45%, with 8% unsure. Biden leads among “independents,” 47%-33%. Within 34 “battleground” Texas House districts, Biden leads Trump,...

Early Voting Ends and Other Election News for July 10

Note: This report has been updated to correct an erroneous reference to 2014 turnout. Early voting in person ended today (Friday) for the July 14 primary runoff and special elections. Through yesterday (Thursday), 532K people have voted in the Democratic runoff...

Endorsement, Ad and Appeal News for June 16

SD14 special: The Texas Farm Bureau AGFUND endorsed Rep. Eddie Rodriguez (D-Austin). His campaign released a new ad criticizing former Travis County Judge Sarah Eckhardt for resigning her office to seek the seat. The Texas Tribune’s Patrick Svitek posted a screen...

By the Numbers: First-place Candidates in Runoffs

82% Winning percentage of runoff candidates who finished 10% or more ahead of their challenger in the primary election since 2002. There have been 175 “open” primary runoff elections for state, legislative and federal offices since 2002, and the candidate who finished...

Revisiting Our Main Primary Election Storylines

Heading into last week’s primary elections, we outlined four principal storylines we’d be watching as the results came in. Final official results, and the results of any recounts and contests, are still to come, but we have answers to all the questions we...