2022 Results Become Official After Abbott’s Canvass

Gov. Greg Abbott (R) canvassed the statewide results of the 2022 general election yesterday (Mon.). As far as we can tell, no state races flipped from the unofficial election results. Just over 8.1M Texans cast a vote for a certified gubernatorial candidate,...

30 Races Shift Toward Republicans in Our Final Ratings

Our final update to our 2022 race ratings shifts 30 races toward the Republicans and none toward the Democrats. Based on lagging turnout, especially in areas and among demographics key to Democratic successes in 2018 and on a significant Republican financial advantage...

Lagging Early Voting Pushes Down Our Turnout Estimate

Early voting continues through Fri. for the November 8 general election. Just south of 3M Texans have voted early in person (92%) or by mail (8%) statewide through yesterday (Sun.), the seventh day of the early voting period. Just over one out of every six registered...

Polls Show Steady Republican Leads as Early Voting Begins

Early voting is underway for the November 8 general election. Harris Co. reported nearly 61K people voted in person today (Mon.), down slightly from the first day of 2018. The number of mail ballots returned is also down by around 9K. Bexar Co. reported 32K people...

Abbott, O’Rourke Each Announce Raising Around $25M

Today (Tues.) is the deadline for statewide and legislative candidates with general election opposition to file their 30-day-out campaign finance reports. These reports disclose contributions received, expenditures made and loans taken out between July 1 and September...

Ad, Endorsement and Poll News for October 4

Early voting by personal appearance begins in 20 days. As of yesterday (Mon.), a little over 3K absentee ballots have been returned to counties reporting numbers this far out from election day. The deadline to register to vote is one week from today, Tuesday Oct. 11....

2 New Polls’ Hispanic/Latino Voter Preferences Clash

Democratic challenger Beto O’Rourke trails Gov. Greg Abbott, 50%-42%, according to a new Emerson Coll. poll. Independents favor Abbott, 44%-37%. The candidates have nearly equal but opposite favorability ratings: Abbott 55/43, O’Rourke 44/52. Abbott leads O’Rourke...

Poll: Republicans Lead Statewide Races by 5-8 Points

Gov. Greg Abbott (R) leads Democratic challenger Beto O’Rourke, 51%-44%, among likely voters, according to a new Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation poll. His lead increases to 53%-43% among “almost certain voters,” continuing a trend observed in recent polls. More than...

Same Song, Different Poll: Abbott by 7

Gov. Greg Abbott (R) leads Democratic challenger Beto O’Rourke, 50%-43%, according to a new Spectrum News/Siena Coll. poll. It finds Lt. Gov. Dan Patrick (R) leading Democratic challenger Mike Collier, 49%-40%, and Atty. Gen. Ken Paxton (R) leading Democratic...