Analysis of Competitive Tarrant Co. House Districts

When former U.S. Rep. Beto O’Rourke (D-El Paso) edged out U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz (R), 49.9%-49.2%, in Tarrant Co., he became the first Democrat to win countywide since 1994. Despite the narrow loss, Cruz won every Republican-held district in 2018. Some of them were very...

Flores Retiring and Other Election News for September 4

U.S. Rep. Bill Flores (R-Bryan) announced he would not seek re-election, becoming the fifth Republican in the Texas delegation to voluntarily leave Congress. U.S. Rep. Bill Flores “When I originally announced that I was running for Congress in 2009, I was firm in my...

Early Voting Numbers and Other News for October 27

Early voting turnout has officially surpassed total early turnout in 2014. Through the first five days of early voting, 2.43M people have voted in person and by mail in the 30 counties with the most registered voters. A little over 2.55M people voted during the entire...

Early Voting Continues Record-setting Pace

Early voting in person began Monday and runs through November 2. First, a look back at historic Day 1. More than 572K people voted early in person on Monday, or their mail ballots were returned by Monday, in the 15 counties with the most registered voters. That is...

Big Bets in Key Races Revealed in 8-day-out Reports

After 5 p.m. today, the Texas Ethics Commission posted totals for the 8-day-out reports candidates filed on Monday. The actual reports are generally not yet available, but we were able to determine many candidates’ largest donors between January 26 and February 24. We...

Ads, Endorsements and Campaign News for February 12

Early voting for the March 6 primary election begins one week from tomorrow. LTGOV: The campaign of Lt. Gov. Dan Patrick (R) released a new ad focused on property taxes. The ad repeats visual cues and the “I won’t back down” tagline that appeared in a previous ad...

Incumbents Generally Ahead in 30-day-out Reports

State candidates with primary opponents were required to file 30-day-out campaign finance reports on Monday. These are normally accessible online early the next morning, but today they were not available until late afternoon. We are in the process of going through the...