Nov 1, 2020 | House Race Analyses, Political Climate
Yesterday (Saturday), we posed two fundamental questions that will be answered Tuesday, or shortly thereafter. We gave our best guess on the first question, whether Joe Biden will become the first Democratic presidential nominee to carry Texas since 1976 (No, but...
Oct 27, 2020 | breaking-news, Campaign Finance
The battle for the Texas House got expensive. Candidates in competitive seats collectively raised $39.3M during the past month, much of through in-kind contributions from a handful of sources. Republicans, bolstered by huge spending by Texans for Lawsuit Reform...
Oct 18, 2020 | Political Climate
Our latest model run moves the presidential race in Texas to Toss Up and projects a narrow Democratic majority in the Texas House when the Legislature convenes in January. Another four Republican-held House seats are within 2 percentage points of potentially adding to...
Oct 13, 2020 | Campaign News
Early voting has begun across Texas for the November 3 general election and continues through October 30. By most accounts, turnout is off to a torrid start. The Harris Co. Clerk’s office tweeted that 128K people voted in person today, plus 41K absentee ballots...
Oct 6, 2020 | Campaign Finance
Statewide and legislative candidates facing general election opposition reported raising nearly $27M since July 1. Democrats accounted for $12.4M of that figure, and Republican candidates raised $14.6M. Sixteen challengers out-raised their incumbent opponents for the...
Oct 4, 2020 | Campaign News
Tomorrow (Monday) is the last day to register to vote, or update one’s registration, for the November 3 general election. Tomorrow is also the deadline for state and local candidates facing general election opponents to file their 30-day-out campaign finance reports....
Aug 29, 2020 | House Race Analyses
We continue our series of analyses of competitive, or potentially competitive, legislative seats with an exploration of the I-35 corridor from Bell Co. to Bexar Co. Republican Targets HD45 (Lean Democratic): Rep. Erin Zwiener (D-Driftwood) won this open seat in 2018,...
Aug 3, 2020 | Campaign News
Former President Barack Obama released his “first wave” of 2020 endorsements, which included 27 Texas House and U.S. House incumbents, challengers and open-seat candidates: House incumbents Erin Zwiener (HD45), James Talarico (HD52), Jessica González (HD104), Terry...
Oct 18, 2019 | Campaign News
HD52: Rep. James Talarico (D-Round Rock) announced he would seek re-election to a second term. HD99: Gov. Greg Abbott (R) endorsed Rep. Charlie Geren (R-Fort Worth) for re-election. HD108: Gov. Greg Abbott (R) endorsed Rep. Morgan Meyer (R-Dallas) for re-election....
Sep 2, 2019 | Campaign News
Filing Deadline: Wednesday is the deadline for candidates to file for the HD28, HD100 and HD148 special elections. Entering this weekend, there were seven, two and seven candidates filed for those races, respectively. See our Crib Sheets for the latest filed and...
Aug 20, 2019 | Campaign News
We’ve had a long travel day, so we’re only posting some headlines today: Garnet Coleman (D-Houston) and James Talarico (D-Round Rock) announce they will seek re-election. Greg Abbott (R) endorses Rep. Brooks Landgraf (R-Odessa) for re-election as he considers running...
Nov 20, 2018 | Campaign News
HD52: Rep. James Talarico (D-Round Rock) was sworn in today to fill the remainder of former Rep. Larry Gonzales’s (R-Round Rock) unexpired term. Talarico won the special election on the same day he was elected to a full term beginning in January. HD108: The Secretary...
