Early Voting Turnout Comparable to Recent Statewide Runoffs
Early voting for the May 24 primary runoff election continues through Friday. Through yesterday (Tues.), the second day of early voting, a total of 193K people had voted in the Republican primary in person (68%) or by mail (32%) and 129K people had voted in the...Runoff Candidates Raise More Than $17M for Final Push
State candidates facing runoffs were required to file their runoff campaign finance reports yesterday (Monday). These reports disclose contributions received and expenditures made between February 10 and May 14. Most reports were available online today (Tuesday), and...Paxton Criticizes ‘Liberal,’ ‘Woke’ Bush; Runoff Endorsement News for May 10
Early voting for the May 24 runoff election begins Monday. AG (Lean R): The campaign of Atty. Gen. Ken Paxton (R) released a new ad criticizing “liberal Land Commissioner” George P. Bush (R) for his “woke plan” for the Alamo....UT Poll: Abbott’s Lead Goes to 11
A new Univ. of Texas/Texas Politics Project poll shows Gov. Greg Abbott (R) leads Democratic challenger Beto O’Rourke, 48%-37%, a 1-point larger margin from the school’s February poll. Abbott’s favorability rating is 46/40 (+6) while O’Rourke is underwater at 38/47...Early Voting, Ad and Endorsement News for April 26
Early voting continues for the May 7 general, special and constitutional amendment elections. Around 1% of Texas registered voters cast ballots in person or by mail through Monday, the first day of early voting, in the constitutional amendment election. Because there...State Requests Redistricting Stay and Other News for April 20
The state has requested a stay of federal proceedings in the consolidated redistricting cases in part because the districts being challenged will only be in effect this election cycle. “A stay of these proceedings ensures that the Court will be reviewing the...Jones Holds Fundraising Edge and Other News for April 11
HD147 special (Safe D): The candidates’ 30-day-out reports campaign finance reports were due Friday in the May 7 special election to fill the unexpired term of former Rep. Garnet Coleman (D-Houston), who resigned. These reports disclose contributions received and...Poll and Endorsement News for April 4
A new poll commissioned by Defend Texas Liberty PAC shows its endorsed candidates easily winning, or at least leading, their respective runoff opponents, by at least 24 percentage points. Gen. Ken Paxton (R) leads Land Comm. George P. Bush (R), 50%-39%, with undecided...Recount and Runoff Endorsement News for March 28
AG (Lean R): Houston Mayor Sylvester Turner endorsed Joe Jaworski (D) in the runoff over Rochelle Garza. HD23 open (Likely R): Gov. Greg Abbott (R) endorsed Patrick Gurski (R) in the runoff over Terri Leo-Wilson. HD52 open (Lean R): Gov. Greg Abbott (R) endorsed...By the Numbers: First-place Candidates’ Historical Runoff Performance
83% Winning percentage of runoff candidates who finished 10% or more ahead of their challenger in the primary election since 2002. There have been 204 “open” primary runoff elections for state, legislative and federal offices since 2002, and the candidate who finished...History Repeats Itself: Top Fundraisers Dominate Open-seat Primaries
We have analyzed historical campaign finance data and election results since 2006 to see how open-seat candidates fared in significant primary races based on their relative fundraising ranks. Unsurprisingly, we found a strong correlation between fundraising rank and...