Feb 7, 2022 | Campaign News
Early voting for the March 1 primary begins Monday. RRC (Likely R): The Dallas Morning News endorsed Dawayne Tipton (R) over Comm. Wayne Christian (R). SD11 open (Likely R): The Mayes Middleton (R) campaign released a new ad leading with former President Trump’s...
Feb 2, 2022 | Campaign News
LTGOV (Lean R): The San Antonio Express-News endorsed Mike Collier for the Democratic nomination. AG (Lean R): U.S. Rep. Louie Gohmert’s (R-Tyler) campaign released a new ad contending that Democrats are “licking their chops” to face Atty. Gen. Ken Paxton (R). We just...
Dec 11, 2020 | Campaign News
The U.S. Supreme Court refused to hear Atty. Gen. Ken Paxton’s suit seeking to overturn the presidential election results in four other states. “Texas has not demonstrated a judicially cognizable interest in the manner in which another State conducts its elections,”...
Nov 4, 2020 | General Elections
Democrats have long maintained that higher turnout is the key to turning the state blue. It didn’t happen. The blue wave of 2018 crashed against the red seawall of rural and exurban Texas, and Republicans held their ground in the suburbs against spirited and...
Nov 1, 2020 | House Race Analyses, Political Climate
Yesterday (Saturday), we posed two fundamental questions that will be answered Tuesday, or shortly thereafter. We gave our best guess on the first question, whether Joe Biden will become the first Democratic presidential nominee to carry Texas since 1976 (No, but...
Oct 27, 2020 | breaking-news, Campaign Finance
The battle for the Texas House got expensive. Candidates in competitive seats collectively raised $39.3M during the past month, much of through in-kind contributions from a handful of sources. Republicans, bolstered by huge spending by Texans for Lawsuit Reform...
Oct 13, 2020 | Campaign News
Early voting has begun across Texas for the November 3 general election and continues through October 30. By most accounts, turnout is off to a torrid start. The Harris Co. Clerk’s office tweeted that 128K people voted in person today, plus 41K absentee ballots...
Oct 6, 2020 | Campaign Finance
Statewide and legislative candidates facing general election opposition reported raising nearly $27M since July 1. Democrats accounted for $12.4M of that figure, and Republican candidates raised $14.6M. Sixteen challengers out-raised their incumbent opponents for the...
Sep 25, 2020 | Campaign News
Single-punch, straight-party voting is back … for now. With 17 days to go before voters will begin going to the polls (assuming that lawsuit fails), a federal judge has issued a preliminary injunction against enforcing a state law, enacted in 2017, that eliminated the...
Sep 17, 2020 | Campaign News
SD30 special (Safe Republican): Early voting continues for the September 29 special election to fill the unexpired term of Sen. Pat Fallon (R-Prosper). Through yesterday (Wednesday), the third day of the early voting period, fewer than 9K voters have cast ballots,...
Aug 23, 2020 | House Race Analyses
For much of the past decade-plus, Harris Co. experienced a phenomenon I called “partisan mood swings.” Democrats running countywide – potentially all of them – tended to win in presidential election years. Republicans running countywide – often all of them – tended to...
Aug 3, 2020 | Campaign News
Former President Barack Obama released his “first wave” of 2020 endorsements, which included 27 Texas House and U.S. House incumbents, challengers and open-seat candidates: House incumbents Erin Zwiener (HD45), James Talarico (HD52), Jessica González (HD104), Terry...