Poll: Election Denialism Remains High Among Republicans

A third of Texas registered voters continue to believe President Biden did not “legitimately” win the 2020 presidential election, according to the latest Univ. of Texas/Texas Politics Project poll. Three out of five Republicans do not believe Biden won the election...

2022 Results Become Official After Abbott’s Canvass

Gov. Greg Abbott (R) canvassed the statewide results of the 2022 general election yesterday (Mon.). As far as we can tell, no state races flipped from the unofficial election results. Just over 8.1M Texans cast a vote for a certified gubernatorial candidate,...

Lagging Early Voting Pushes Down Our Turnout Estimate

Early voting continues through Fri. for the November 8 general election. Just south of 3M Texans have voted early in person (92%) or by mail (8%) statewide through yesterday (Sun.), the seventh day of the early voting period. Just over one out of every six registered...

Polls Show Steady Republican Leads as Early Voting Begins

Early voting is underway for the November 8 general election. Harris Co. reported nearly 61K people voted in person today (Mon.), down slightly from the first day of 2018. The number of mail ballots returned is also down by around 9K. Bexar Co. reported 32K people...

Abbott, O’Rourke Each Announce Raising Around $25M

Today (Tues.) is the deadline for statewide and legislative candidates with general election opposition to file their 30-day-out campaign finance reports. These reports disclose contributions received, expenditures made and loans taken out between July 1 and September...

Ad, Endorsement and Poll News for October 4

Early voting by personal appearance begins in 20 days. As of yesterday (Mon.), a little over 3K absentee ballots have been returned to counties reporting numbers this far out from election day. The deadline to register to vote is one week from today, Tuesday Oct. 11....

Poll: Republicans Lead Statewide Races by 5-8 Points

Gov. Greg Abbott (R) leads Democratic challenger Beto O’Rourke, 51%-44%, among likely voters, according to a new Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation poll. His lead increases to 53%-43% among “almost certain voters,” continuing a trend observed in recent polls. More than...