An abbreviated early voting period begins tomorrow (Monday) for the HD10 special election and ends on Friday. August 31 is Election Day. The frontrunners appear to be former Rep. John Wray (R-Waxahachie) and former U.S. Health and Human Services Dept. official Brian Harrison (R). Eight candidates filed, including five Republicans.

If needed, a runoff would likely be among two Republicans, though there is a single Democrat in the race: Ennis immigration attorney Pierina Otiniano. Last month’s CD6 runoff was a race between two Republicans largely because Democratic votes were fractured among multiple candidates. CD6 is considerably more competitive for Democrats than HD10, which was 15 points redder than the state in 2020.

The district is comprised of Ellis Co. and western Henderson Co., with the latter representing just 7% of the votes cast in the 2020 general election in the district. Based on the recently released Census figures, we expect the next iteration of this district will be solely Ellis Co., the population of which is within 1% of an ideal district size. That should be good news for everyone running except Matt Savino, the Libertarian candidate. He resides in Seven Points, which is in Henderson Co.

500 and Counting: We are now tracking more than 500 candidates for Congress, statewide office and the Legislature in Texas. Our Crib Sheets always have the latest lists of candidates who have taken a formal step toward entering a race. You don’t have to spend a lot of time maintaining tedious lists of lists of candidates – let us do it for you!

SD10: Fort Worth attorney and physician Monte Mitchell re-established his campaign committee for a potential challenge of Sen. Beverly Powell (D-Burleson).

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