Jun 6, 2018 | Political Climate
Today we begin our exploration of districts that may be in play in the general election by examining a metric we call “relative performance factors,” which measure the partisan lean of a district relative to the state. Two dozen Texas congressional and...
May 30, 2018 | Political Climate
A new Quinnipiac University poll (PDF) shows U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz (R) with an 11-point lead over U.S. Rep. Beto O’Rourke (D-El Paso) and Gov. Greg Abbott (R) by 19 over Lupe Valdez (D). Cruz leads O’Rourke, 50%-39%, among “Texas voters.” Cruz leads among men, 57%-35%,...
May 28, 2018 | Political Climate, Runoff Elections
Prior to last week’s runoff election, we discussed several storylines we would we watching as the results came in. Here we revisit those storylines and see if we were on the mark, a bit off or nowhere near the target. Looking for a Wave: Democratic turnout was...
May 23, 2018 | Political Climate
Just over 432K Texans cast a ballot in the Democratic gubernatorial runoff election, setting a new record for lowest participation in a Democratic gubernatorial runoff in state history and barely eclipsing the number of people who cast ballots in Republican runoffs...
May 21, 2018 | Political Climate
The polls will be open from 7 a.m. to 7 p.m. local time across the state as voters determine the final major-party nominees for the general election. Here are some of the storylines we will be watching as the evening unfolds: Looking for a Wave: Democrats are deciding...
Apr 18, 2018 | Political Climate
In a development likely to appear in Democratic (and Republican) fundraising appeals, a new Quinnipiac University poll (PDF) suggests a tight race for U.S. Senate and a wider, but still single-digit, race for governor. Suffice it to say, a poll taken six months before...
Mar 5, 2018 | Political Climate
Tomorrow is Primary Election Day, the earliest mid-term primary election in the Nation. Polls will be open from 7 a.m. to 7 p.m. CST in every county except El Paso and Hudspeth Cos., which are located in the Mountain Time Zone. We will begin our live coverage of...
Feb 28, 2018 | Political Climate
A new KTVT-TV/Dixie Strategies poll suggests a majority of likely Democratic primary voters are undecided about the races at the top of their party’s ticket: GOV: Undecided 54, Andrew White 17, Lupe Valdez 12, Adrian Ocegueda 6, others 11 LTGOV: Undecided 75, Mike...
Feb 26, 2018 | Political Climate
Compared to four years ago, 44% more people voted in the Republican primary over the weekend, and the number of Democratic primary voters more than doubled in the 15 counties with the most registered voters. During the entire first week of early voting, turnout in the...
Feb 18, 2018 | Political Climate
Imagine a state where every nominee of the dominant political party was chosen by the residents of a single large city – not even the biggest city in the state – and every nominee of the opposition party was chosen by a single suburban county. For all practical...
Feb 13, 2018 | Political Climate
A recent Gallup tracking poll suggests Texas is “competitive” as the spread between adults reporting a preference for the Republican and Democratic parties is just 3 points. Including leaners*, 41% of adults said they were Republicans and 38% said they were Democrats,...
Jan 24, 2018 | Political Climate
A poll conducted for End Citizens United (PDF) indicates U.S. Rep. Beto O’Rourke (D-El Paso) is within single digits of U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz (R). The Democrat-leaning Public Policy Polling survey shows Cruz leading O’Rourke, 45%-37%, with 18% undecided. No Democratic...
