In a development likely to appear in Democratic (and Republican) fundraising appeals, a new Quinnipiac University poll (PDF) suggests a tight race for U.S. Senate and a wider, but still single-digit, race for governor. Suffice it to say, a poll taken six months before early voting begins should be taken with some salt.

According to the poll, U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz (R) leads U.S. Rep. Beto O’Rourke (D-El Paso), 47%-44%, among all voters. O’Rourke is preferred among African-Americans (78%-18%), Hispanics/Latinos (51%-33%), “independents” (51%-35%), women (47%-43%) and voters aged 18 to 34 (50%-34%). Cruz is preferred among Anglos (59%-34%), voters aged 50 to 64 (53%-41%), men (51%-40%), voters aged 65 and older (50%-43%) and voters aged 35 to 49 (48%-45%).

Overall, Cruz has a net favorability rating of 46/44. O’Rourke’s rating is 30/16, suggesting he is generally viewed more favorably by voters who know who he is, but more than half of voters polled “haven’t heard enough” to form an opinion.

While the closeness of the horse race is highly questionable, the poll does highlight three of O’Rourke’s significant weaknesses in this race.

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