SD30 special (Safe Republican): In a tweet, Dallas-area salon owner Shelley Luther said she has been approached by “dozens” of people encouraging her to seek the seat being vacated by Sen. Pat Fallon (R-Prosper). Her tweet comes a day after Rep. Jonathan Stickland (R-Bedford) tweeted, “Where are the fighters” who would stand up to Gov. Greg Abbott (R).

HD121 (Lean Republican): An internal poll released by the Celina Montoya (D) campaign shows the challenger leading Rep. Steve Allison (R-San Antonio), 49%-42%. Presumptive Democratic nominee Joe Biden leads President Trump, 54%-42%, in the district. The EMC Research poll of 406 “likely November 2020 general election voters” was in the field July 28-August 1. The poll’s stated margin of error is ±4.9%.

The district has been growing slowly but steadily friendlier to Democrats, though it has remained redder than the state as a whole through 2018, when it was 0.2 points redder than the state. Montoya over-performed the rest of the Democratic ticket by 0.4 points in her 2018 race against Allison. She is the first Democrat to seek the House from these precincts since at least 2002.

CD23 open (Lean Democratic): The campaign of Gina Ortiz Jones (D) released a new ad, “My Story,” a biographical piece.

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