Poll: Election Denialism Remains High Among Republicans

A third of Texas registered voters continue to believe President Biden did not “legitimately” win the 2020 presidential election, according to the latest Univ. of Texas/Texas Politics Project poll. Three out of five Republicans do not believe Biden won the election...

Election Season Winds Down As Prefiling Legislation Begins

Today (Mon.) was the deadline for provisional voters to cure the reason they had to vote provisional (e.g., address did not match voter roll, left ID at home). Today was also the deadline for absentee voters to cure defects on their absentee ballot carrier envelopes...

Lagging Early Voting Pushes Down Our Turnout Estimate

Early voting continues through Fri. for the November 8 general election. Just south of 3M Texans have voted early in person (92%) or by mail (8%) statewide through yesterday (Sun.), the seventh day of the early voting period. Just over one out of every six registered...

Polls Show Steady Republican Leads as Early Voting Begins

Early voting is underway for the November 8 general election. Harris Co. reported nearly 61K people voted in person today (Mon.), down slightly from the first day of 2018. The number of mail ballots returned is also down by around 9K. Bexar Co. reported 32K people...

Ad, Endorsement and Poll News for October 4

Early voting by personal appearance begins in 20 days. As of yesterday (Mon.), a little over 3K absentee ballots have been returned to counties reporting numbers this far out from election day. The deadline to register to vote is one week from today, Tuesday Oct. 11....

2 New Polls’ Hispanic/Latino Voter Preferences Clash

Democratic challenger Beto O’Rourke trails Gov. Greg Abbott, 50%-42%, according to a new Emerson Coll. poll. Independents favor Abbott, 44%-37%. The candidates have nearly equal but opposite favorability ratings: Abbott 55/43, O’Rourke 44/52. Abbott leads O’Rourke...

Poll: Republicans Lead Statewide Races by 5-8 Points

Gov. Greg Abbott (R) leads Democratic challenger Beto O’Rourke, 51%-44%, among likely voters, according to a new Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation poll. His lead increases to 53%-43% among “almost certain voters,” continuing a trend observed in recent polls. More than...

Same Song, Different Poll: Abbott by 7

Gov. Greg Abbott (R) leads Democratic challenger Beto O’Rourke, 50%-43%, according to a new Spectrum News/Siena Coll. poll. It finds Lt. Gov. Dan Patrick (R) leading Democratic challenger Mike Collier, 49%-40%, and Atty. Gen. Ken Paxton (R) leading Democratic...

New Poll, Similar Single-digit Lead for Abbott

Gov. Greg Abbott (R) leads Democratic challenger Beto O’Rourke, 47%-38%, among registered voters, according to a new Dallas Morning News/Univ. of Texas at Tyler poll. His lead increases slightly to 50%-39% among respondents “certain or probably” voting. These are the...

Abbott’s Polling Lead Virtually Unchanged Since May

Gov. Greg Abbott (R) leads Democratic challenger Beto O’Rourke, 45%-40%, according to a new Univ. of Texas/Texas Politics Project poll. This is virtually unchanged from the June poll (45%-39%). “Virtually unchanged” has been a theme of recent gubernatorial horse race...