The U.S. Senate race has tightened a bit, according to a new Quinnipiac Univ. poll. U.S. Rep. Beto O’Rourke (D-El Paso) has nearly halved a 9-point gap in three weeks, narrowing U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz’s (R) to 51%-46% from 54%-45%. The poll also finds former Dallas Co. Sheriff Lupe Valdez (D) has made up some ground but still trails Gov. Greg Abbott (R), 54%-40%.

The past two Quinnipiac polls, also of “likely voters,” found Cruz leading by 9 points and Abbott ahead by 19 and 20 points. Three weeks ago, just 2% of Cruz’s supporters and 4% of O’Rourke’s supporters told the pollsters they “might change [their] mind before the election.” In this new poll, 98% of each candidate’s supporters say their “mind [is] made up.”

In the new poll, Cruz leads among:

  • Men, 56%-39% (Was 62%-37%)
  • Anglos, 65%-33% (Was 69%-30%); and
  • Anglos with no college degree, 73%-24% (Was 80%-19%).

O’Rourke leads among:

  • Women, 52%-45% (Was 52%-46%)
  • Independents, 56%-40% (Was 56%-42%)
  • African-Americans, 86%-12% (Was 84%-10%); and
  • Hispanics/Latinos, 60%-36% (Was 61%-37%).

The gender gap exists almost entirely within independent voters.

Subscribers can read the rest of this report.

©2018 Texas Election Source LLC