Early Voting Turnout May Foretell Trouble for O’Rourke

Early voting concludes Friday for the November 8 general election. Through yesterday (Tue.), the ninth day of the early voting period, 3.8M Texans have voted early in person (93%) or by mail (7%), corresponding to 21.5% of registered voters (RVs). As of this point two...

Lagging Early Voting Pushes Down Our Turnout Estimate

Early voting continues through Fri. for the November 8 general election. Just south of 3M Texans have voted early in person (92%) or by mail (8%) statewide through yesterday (Sun.), the seventh day of the early voting period. Just over one out of every six registered...

Day 1 Early Voting Totals Lag Behind 2018, 2020

Early voting continues for the November 8 general election. Just under 4.5% of registered voters have cast ballots in person or by mail through yesterday (Mon.), the first day of early voting by personal appearance. A total of 789K voters have already cast ballots...

Polls Show Steady Republican Leads as Early Voting Begins

Early voting is underway for the November 8 general election. Harris Co. reported nearly 61K people voted in person today (Mon.), down slightly from the first day of 2018. The number of mail ballots returned is also down by around 9K. Bexar Co. reported 32K people...

Turnout Projections Point to Around 10M Voters

Early voting by personal appearance begins Monday for the November 8 general election. Absentee voting is already underway. As of yesterday (Mon.), at least 65K mail ballots had been returned. Turnout Projections: In a call with reporters, Gov. Greg Abbott (R) said he...

Abbott, O’Rourke Each Announce Raising Around $25M

Today (Tues.) is the deadline for statewide and legislative candidates with general election opposition to file their 30-day-out campaign finance reports. These reports disclose contributions received, expenditures made and loans taken out between July 1 and September...

National Dems Canceling Ad Reservations for CD15

Tomorrow (Tues.) is the deadline to register for the November 8 general election. Early voting by personal appearance begins Oct. 24. Absentee voting is already underway. CD15 open (Lean R): Axios’s Josh Kraushaar reported the House Majority PAC is planning to cancel...

Ryan: No Post-Dobbs Surge in Voter Registrations

Texas is closing in on 17.6M registered voters as Tuesday’s deadline approaches, representing a net increase of 410K since the March primary and 640K since November 2020. According to Republican consultant and data nerd Derek Ryan’s analysis, there have been 421K...