Most of the incoming Texas Legislature is all but determined after last night’s primary runoffs settled the last remaining open nominations. Just four Senate candidates (out of 16) and 54 House candidates (out of 150) face an opponent from the other major political party. Counting members not on the ballot this year, 20 of the 31 Senators are unopposed, and a majority of the incoming House – 77 members – is unopposed.

Thus, a sea change is not expected (and not really possible) in either chamber, statewide leadership, the congressional delegation or the State Board of Education. Democrats have the most opportunities for incremental gains, and Republicans are poised to restore their unanimous lock on statewide offices. Texas’ lone competitive congressional seat is likely to be one of the most expensive races in the nation.

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