Texas is considered a toss-up state in a new, and highly suspect, Washington Post-SurveyMonkey “poll” released today (Tuesday). Hillary Clinton leads Donald Trump, 46%-45%, in a head-to-head matchup, and they are tied, 40%-40%, when the field included Libertarian Gary Johnson (11%) and Green Jill Stein (3%). In an accompanying story, the Texas result is called “the biggest surprise in the 50-state results.”

Significant methodological problems lead us to conclude that the survey should not be taken seriously.

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