A second poll is as many weeks shows presumptive Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton trailing presumptive Republican nominee Donald Trump by a single-digit margin in Texas. The University of Texas/Texas Politics Project poll of 1,200 registered voters shows Trump leading Clinton, 39%-32%. A Leland Beatty poll commissioned by several Democratic elected officials put Trump’s lead at 37%-30%.

Trump’s single-digit lead is, in fact, closer to being typical than it is to being unusual, at least with respect to historical University of Texas polling. Consider these past statewide elections’ summer polling numbers:

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