The Dawn Buckingham campaign released a poll from WPA Research showing her in a statistical tie with Rep. Susan King (R-Abilene). WPA finds Buckingham leading King, 35%-34%, with 31% undecided. Both candidates have nearly identical name identification (68% each) and favorability ratings (Buckingham 40/11, King 39/11).

WPA finds Buckingham leads among self-identified conservative voters, 37%-32%, and trails among self-identified moderate voters, 40%-29%. WPA finds King leads, 52%-28%, in Abilene and West Texas while Buckingham leads, 36%-25%, in Austin and the Hill Country and 39%-28% in the Temple/Belton area. We do not know exactly how the poll split the district’s counties into these regions, but we calculated how the candidates fared in the primary in our best guess of these regions:

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