Since Donald Trump became President in January, Democrats have had four shots at taking Republican-held congressional seats in special elections. They have not won any, including losing a pair of races this week in Georgia and South Carolina (Democrats won a fifth special election in a heavily Democratic district in California.).

In at least two of these districts, Democratic candidates made the race a referendum on Trump, and millions of dollars of outside money went toward reinforcing that message. So far, no Republican seat has been lost because of Trump or any other reason.

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