Even with a record number of registered voters, non-participation is still trending in Texas.

Secretary of State Carlos Cascos announced that a record 15,015,700 Texans are registered to vote for the general election. The final total is expected to increase slightly as counties finish processing applications filed just before the October 11 deadline. More than 750K Texans have registered to vote since the March primary, and nearly 1.4M Texans have registered to vote since the 2012 general election.

Cascos said the state’s estimated voting-age population is 19.3M, so seven out of every nine voting-age Texans (78%) are registered to vote. However, the U.S. Census Bureau estimates that the voting-age population is closer to 19.8M, which would mean that just over 75% of the voting-age population has registered to vote. The Texas Demographic Center’s estimate is over 20M using a migration rate that is half of what the state experienced from 2000 to 2010.

If we use either of those estimates, then voter registrations have at best kept pace with population growth and possibly lagged behind it.

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