Early voting in person continues across the state. Day Two in-person turnout was confirmed higher than Day One in Denton, Harris, Montgomery, Nueces, Tarrant, Travis. Day Two in-person turnout was down slightly in Bexar Co., where nearly 75K have voted in person in two days, and Cameron Co.
We’ll have a better picture on Day Two turnout sometime tomorrow.
Day One turnout totals in the state’s 15 most populous counties were 52% ahead of 2012, 66% ahead of 2008 and 203% ahead of 2004. More than 575K votes were cast early in person on (394K) or received by mail (182K) by Monday in those counties. All 15 counties posted record turnout for Day One of early voting.
Derek Ryan’s analysis of Day One’s early voters in 19 of the state’s largest counties (but not the 15 most populous, though there is overlap) indicated that just over 8% of votes cast were by voters with “no Primary Election history or General Election history.” Almost 37% of voters had Republican primary history and 33% had Democratic primary history. The remaining 22% had general election history but no primary history.
Ryan found that women cast at least 54% of the early votes on Monday. Almost a quarter of Monday’s votes came from people aged 60-69. The second largest bloc of votes came from people aged 70-79. We know that ballots by mail comprised about a third of early votes included in the Day One totals, so we would expect the distribution of votes would skew toward older voters. Voters under 30 accounted for about 5% of early votes cast Monday.
Ryan is a Republican political consultant and former research director for the Republican Party of Texas. His analysis of voter data included Bexar, Brazoria, Collin, Dallas, Denton, El Paso, Fort Bend, Galveston, Harris, Lubbock, McLennan, Montgomery, Nueces, Rockwall, Smith, Tarrant, Travis, Webb and Williamson Cos. The 15 most populous counties are Bexar, Cameron, Collin, Dallas, Denton, El Paso, Fort Bend, Galveston, Harris, Hidalgo, Montgomery, Nueces, Tarrant, Travis and Williamson Cos.
