A new poll from the Texas Lyceum shows a statistical dead heat in the U.S. Senate race, except that “haven’t thought enough about it” is the response of a plurality of registered voters. U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz (R) and U.S. Rep. Beto O’Rourke (D-El Paso) are tied, 30-30, and U.S. Rep. Joaquin Castro (D-San Antonio) leads Cruz, 35-31. Democrats also lead the generic ballot test for Congress, 43-34, when the Republican and separate Tea Party candidates are combined.
However, the election is more than 20 months away, and the poll’s sample has a relatively high proportion of self-identified Democrats (32%) and independents (40%) relative to the number of self-identified Republicans (27%). It also has a high proportion of Hispanics/Latinos (38%) relative to the electorate.
Overall, 34% of adults said the country is “moving in the right direction” while 52% said it is “off on the wrong track.” These numbers are noticeably better than the September poll, when 28% of adults thought the country was on the right track and 63% thought the wrong track, except that the partisan balance is reversed.
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