Early voting in person concludes tomorrow (Friday).

Halloween and rain took their respective bites out of Wednesday’s (Day 10) turnout, which dove sharply from previous days. Overall, 2018 early voting turnout has been trending downward at a time when most years’ turnout trends upward. Another may be people who normally wait until “Week 2” to vote have already cast their ballots.

Fewer than 238K voted in person and by mail Wednesday in the 15 counties with the most registered voters, down 20% from Tuesday, 25% from Monday and 31% from last Wednesday. Aside from Sunday, which is the traditional low-water mark for turnout, Wednesday’s turnout was the lowest so far this year. That said, it remained record-breaking, by far, for a gubernatorial election cycle. In the 15 counties, 32.7% of registered voters have cast ballots through Wednesday. Statewide, 33.7% of registered voters cast ballots in the 2014 general election including Election Day.

This year’s turnout still more closely resembles a presidential election cycle, but 2018 is continuing to lose ground on 2016. For the first time this year, single-day turnout was less than the corresponding day in each of the last four presidential elections.

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©2018 Texas Election Source LLC