Single-digit Lead for Cruz, Abbott’s Lead Just Over 10 Points

An new poll from JMC Analytics and Polling (PDF) suggests U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz (R) has a seven-point lead over U.S. Rep. Beto O’Rourke (D-El Paso) and Gov. Greg Abbott (R) holds a slightly better than 10-point lead over either potential Democratic nominee. For whatever reason, the poll tests one of the independent candidates for U.S. Senate but no other minor party or independent candidates, and nearly every respondent has heard of him.

Cruz leads O’Rourke, 47%-40%, with independent candidate Jonathan Jenkins receiving the support of 6% of respondents. Jenkins is one of six candidates who filed as independents for the race, but he is the only other candidate specifically mentioned by the poll. Libertarian nominee Neal Dikeman was not tested.

Only 6% of respondents said they had “never heard” of Jenkins, which seems extraordinary, given that 5% of respondents said they had never heard of O’Rourke and 3% had never heard of Cruz. Jenkins has a net favorability rating of 9/12 with 73% having no opinion. Cruz’s net favorability was 42/44. O’Rourke’s was 35/20.

Subscribers can read the rest of this report.

©2018 Texas Election Source LLC