Today we continue our exploration of districts that may be in play in the general election by looking at districts held by Republicans but carried by Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton in 2016.

National news outlets and pundits have used the 2016 presidential election results to identify districts where Republicans may be in trouble in the mid-term elections. Nationally, there were 25 congressional districts won by Republicans where Clinton received more votes than Donald Trump. Three are in Texas:

  • CD23, held by U.S. Rep. Will Hurd (R-San Antonio), where Clinton received 52% of the vote head-to-head against Trump
  • CD32, held by U.S. Rep. Pete Sessions (R-Dallas), where Clinton received 51% of the vote head-to-head against Trump; and
  • CD7, held by U.S. Rep. John Culberson (R-Houston), where Clinton received just under 51% of the vote head-to-head against Trump.

National pundit Charlie Cook has CD7 and CD32 rated as “toss ups,” and he has rated CD23 as “lean Republican.” All three races have been targeted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee.*

Eleven legislative seats – one Senate, 10 House – are held by Republicans but were won by Clinton in 2016. In addition to these 14 seats, Clinton received at least 47% of the vote head-to-head against Trump in another 10 legislative districts (2 Senate, eight House).

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©2018 Texas Election Source LLC

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