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Our models project one statewide, six state House and one Congressional incumbent will fall in this general election. All will be Republicans except for the lone Democratic statewide official and lone independent representative. Republicans hold most of the competitive seats coming into the presidential election cycle, including several wrested from traditional Democratic control in 2014 or 2015. We project all open seats will remain with the party whose incumbent is leaving or has left office and all other incumbents will prevail for federal and state offices.

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