A new national Gallup poll reinforces polling results from Texas foreshadowing a potential decline in voter participation in the general election. The percentage of U.S. adults who rate themselves as “definitely” voting is the lowest recorded for the last five presidential elections. Almost all of the drop-off is attributable to younger voters.

In 2008, almost three quarters of U.S. adults aged 18 to 34 said they would definitely vote in the presidential election between Barack Obama and John McCain, putting them just behind voters older than 35. Eight years later, less than half of that age group says it will definitely vote, a drop off of nearly two out of every five who voted in 2008.

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