Early voting for the March 6 primary election continues until March 2. Day Two turnout typically falls from Day One. One of the biggest drivers is how mail ballots are counted. Day One includes all mail ballots received up to and including that day. Every subsequent day includes only those ballots by mail received on that day.

The key story for Day Two is whether in-person voting sustains the Day One pace. Early evidence suggests it did not:

  • Harris Co: Day Two in-person turnout fell 14% from Tuesday. During the first two days of early voting, 14,493 Republicans and 12,627 Democrats have voted in person or by mail. Compared to 2014, Republican two-day turnout is down 3% from 2014 and Democratic turnout is up 79%.
  • Tarrant Co.: About a third fewer people voted in person during the second day of early voting compared to the first day. During the first two days of early voting, 8,292 Republicans and 6,535 Democrats have voted in person or by mail. Compared to 2014, Republican two-day turnout is down 25% and Democratic turnout is up 38%.

Subscribers can read the rest of this report.

©2018 Texas Election Source LLC