A new CBS News/YouGov poll (PDF) shows U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz (R) leading U.S. Rep. Beto O’Rourke (D-El Paso), 50%-44%, among “likely voters.” The poll found most voters are set in their picks as just 6% of respondents said they “might still change” their minds before voting, and it reinforced past polls’ findings of a gender gap (albeit a narrower one) and an enthusiasm gap between older and younger voters. A June CBS News/YouGov poll showed Cruz leading, 50%-40%.

Cruz leads among male “likely voters,” 53%-40%, but is tied with O’Rourke among women, 47%-47%. “Likely voters” aged 65 and older favor Cruz, 61%-37%, while voters under 30 favor O’Rourke, 57%-35%. Cruz leads among Anglo “likely voters,” 63%-33%, while O’Rourke leads among Hispanic/Latino “likely voters,” 56%-35%, and African-Americans, 78%-9%.

The poll found the state evenly split on President Trump’s job performance, with 51% approving (33% strongly) and 49% disapproving (40% strongly), and evenly split on “the way things are going in the U.S. right now,” with 50% satisfied and 50% dissatisfied. A majority of “those voting in 2018 elections” said their vote was mainly about “the direction of the country.”

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