A new Emerson College poll (pdf) of 700 “likely general election voters” shows Donald Trump leading Hillary Clinton, 42%-36%, with the two minor party candidates receiving the support of 16% of voters. The latter figure is far above the parties’ historical performances in this state.

This is at least the fourth poll since June showing a single-digit lead for Trump. We are excluding the WaPo/SurveyMonkey “poll,” which showed a 1-point Clinton lead, because of serious methodological concerns.

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