Updated March 15 at 5 p.m. to provide link to Christian’s March 15 announcement of conservative group and legislator runoffs.

History does not favor former Rep. Wayne Christian (R-Center) in his runoff against Richmond real estate investor Gary Gates, whose personal electoral history likewise is unkind. Though there have not been many runoffs for Railroad Commissioner in recent history, almost every aspect of those races goes against Christian. The support of Tea Party voters and conservative groups can overcome such disadvantages, and Christian must rely on these if he is to win a race in which he will be badly outspent.

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