As we suspected yesterday, Republican early voting turnout is down sharply from 2014 while Democratic turnout is up significantly, at least in the state’s 15 most populous counties. Without a marquee statewide race, Republican turnout is 31% below 2012 and 43% below 2014. Democratic turnout is 61% above 2012 and 47% above 2014 despite the lack of a marquee statewide race.

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