Percent of the time an open-seat candidate with the highest contribution total has either won a multi-way primary race outright or advanced to a runoff since 2006.

Campaign cash is one of the best indicators of potential success in contested primary races where at least three candidates, none of whom are the incumbent, are seeking their party’s nomination.

We looked at campaign finance data and election results for 117 open-seat primary races for statewide office, the Legislature and Congress since 2006 that met these criteria:

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