11 p.m. – March 4
INCUMBENTS DEFEATED
HD4: Gooden lost to Spitzer, 49-51 (100% reporting)
HD55: Sheffield lost to White, 46-54 (100% reporting)
HD90: Burnam lost to Romero by 111 votes (100% reporting)
INCUMBENTS IN TROUBLE
CD4: Hall headed to runoff, leads Ratcliffe 46-29 (47% reporting)
LTGOV: Dewhurst headed to runoff, trails Patrick 28-42 (35% reporting)
SD16: Carona trails Huffines by 616 votes (63% reporting) — 26 boxes from HD108 are among the outstanding precincts
HD1: Lavender trails VanDeaver, 44-56 (67% reporting), but we think there is an error here, but unclear how it will break for them
HD60: Keffer leads Crisp by 329 votes (81% reporting)
HD76: N. Gonzalez is in 3rd place, 10 votes short of making a runoff (18% reporting)
HD94: Patrick trails Tinderholt, 45-55 (38% reporting)
HD102: Carter trails Koop, 33.4-34.6 but leads Brown by 593 votes (87% reporting)
HD105: Harper-Brown trails Anderson by 334 votes (83% reporting) — outstanding boxes are in the northern half of the district
HD115: Ratliff trails Rinaldi by 78 votes (67% reporting)
ELSEWHERE
SD25: Campbell looks like she will win without a runoff. The outstanding boxes are in Guadalupe and Travis Cos., where she received well over 50% in EV.
SD31: Appears Seliger will prevail. Midland Co. is reporting on its web site “unofficial final” results which do not provide Canon enough votes to overcome Seliger’s lead. Boots on the ground say AP has called the race for Seliger.
HD15: Keough 57, Tough 43 (100% reporting)
HD16: Seago 44, Metcalf 42 to runoff (100% reporting)
HD18: Otto 62, Holcomb 38 (98% reporting)
HD21: Phelan 59, Nichols 41 (46% reporting)
HD23: Faircloth 66, Senter 34 (100% reporting)
HD53: Murr 41, Henneke 29 to runoff (99% reporting)
HD58: Eby 40, Burns 30 to runoff (100% reporting)
HD59: JD Sheffield 61, Pelton 31 (100% reporting)
HD64: Crownover 55, R. King 45 (100% reporting)
HD66: Shaheen 49.6, Callison 40 (100% reporting) — Shaheen is 29 votes short of avoiding runoff
10:40 p.m.
HD1: VanDeaver is beating Lavender, and we think we’ve cleared up the error. From what we can tell, some of the EV numbers reported to the SoS are flipped. According to Lamar Co. Elections, VanDeaver won EV, 1,477 to 839, and ED 1,281 to 910. He won absentee votes 219-217. Overall, VanDeaver carried Lamar Co., 2,977-1,966. So that gives us:
- Bowie Co. Lavender 2,542 and VanDeaver 2,114 (19% reporting)
- Franklin Co. Lavender 619 and VanDeaver 742 (100% reporting)
- Lamar Co. Lavender 1,966 and VanDeaver 2,977 (100% reporting)
- Red River Co. Lavender 367 and VanDeaver 1,240 (92% reporting)
OVERALL Lavender 5,494 and VanDeaver 7,073 (67% reporting). Lavender needs some big margins in those Bowie Co. boxes to overcome what has become a large deficit.
HD4: It appears that Gooden has been defeated by Spitzer. The SoS shows 10 precincts out but the county detail shows none out.
HD6: Schaefer leading comfortably over Ogle
HD60: Keffer leads Crisp by 2,837 votes with one box out in Eastland Co. and eight out in Stephens Co. (advantage Keffer in both cos.)
HD76: Blanco 43, Chavez 29.1, N. Gonzalez 28.1 — Gonzalez now 74 votes behind Chavez with 7 boxes out
HD92: Stickland is winning comfortably
HD94: Tinderholt has increased his lead over Patrick to 1,411 votes with 9 precincts out.
10:20 p.m.
AG: Smitherman has conceded. Via Twitter, he wished Branch and Paxton good luck.
SD31: With 79% reporting, Seliger leads Canon by 2,839 votes, but Canon has some big boxes still to come. Boxes out and advantage:
- Carson Co. 6 of 9 – adv. Seliger
- Donley Co. 7 of 7 – no data reported
- Gaines Co. 1 of 9 – adv. Canon
- Hansford Co. 8 of 9 – adv. Seliger
- Howard Co. 12 of 13 – adv. Seliger
- Midland Co. 33 of 46 – big adv. Canon
- Oldham Co. 7 of 8 – adv. Seliger
Canon won Midland Co. EV, 68-32. This suggests a very close finish to this race.
NEW DALLAS NOS.
CD32: Sessions 67, Pierson 33
SD16: Carona trails by 392 votes with 41% reporting, a lot of HD108 and NW Dallas Co. are not in
HD105: Anderson has increased his lead over Harper-Brown to 172 votes with 41% reporting. Majority of remaining boxes are in northern half of district.
HD108: Meyer 47, Westcott 30, Alley 23 with 39% reporting
HD112: Button 56, Patterson 44 with 31% reporting
HD115: Rinaldi’s lead increases to 167 with 35% reporting
10:05 p.m.
INCUMBENTS DEFEATED
HD55: Sheffield lost to White, 46-54 (100% reporting)
HD90: Burnam lost to Romero by 111 votes (100% reporting)
INCUMBENTS IN TROUBLE
CD4: Hall headed to runoff, leads Ratcliffe 46-29 (47% reporting)
LTGOV: Dewhurst headed to runoff, trails Patrick 28-42 (35% reporting)
SD16: Carona trails Huffines, 49.5-50.5 (16% reporting)
HD1: Lavender is shown to trail VanDeaver, 43-57 (53% reporting), but we think there is an error here, but unclear how it will break for them
HD4: Gooden trails Spitzer by 381 votes (65% reporting)
HD60: Keffer leads Crisp by 329 votes (81% reporting)
HD76: N. Gonzalez is in 3rd place, 10 votes short of making a runoff (18% reporting)
HD94: Patrick trails Tinderholt, 45-55 (38% reporting)
HD102: Carter trails Koop, 33.9-34.7 but leads Brown by 443 votes (26% reporting)
HD105: Harper-Brown trails Anderson by 21 votes (9% reporting)
HD115: Ratliff trails Rinaldi by 61 votes (6% reporting)
9:45 p.m.
HD55: Molly White has indeed defeated Rep. Ralph Sheffield
AG: The AP has called the race as a Branch-Paxton runoff
TARRANT CO
SD10: Burton 44, Shelton 35, Pompa 12, 50% reporting
HD90: Burnam 50.2, Romero 49.8 (21 vote difference), 81% reporting
HD92: Stickland 64, Cargile 36, 36% reporting
HD94: Tinderholt 55, Patrick 45, 38% reporting — and Tinderholt’s lead is growing
EL PASO CO
HD75: M. Gonzalez 69, Sepulveda 31, 7% reporting
HD76: Blanco 42, Chavez 29.3, N. Gonzalez 29.1 (10 votes separate Chavez and Gonzalez), 38% reporting
HD77: Marquez 66, Ness-Garcia 34, 40% reporting
HD78: Pickett 84, Peartree 16, 8% reporting
BEXAR CO
HD121: Straus 62, Beebe 38, 53% reporting
9:30 p.m.
HD55: According to the Bell Co. web site, challenger Molly White has defeated Rep. Ralph Sheffield, 54-46, with 100% reporting. We’ll check on this as nothing has been reported to the SoS yet.
HD60: Keffer 54, Crisp 46 with 34% reporting. 25% of Hood is in (Crisp’s best co.) while none of Brown or Eastland is in (Keffer’s best).
DALLAS CO. UPDATE
SD16: Huffines 50.5, Carona 49.5 (305 vote margin), 16% reporting
HD102: Koop 35, Carter 34, Brown 28 (Koop leads Carter by 51 votes), 26% reporting
HD105: Anderson 50.25, Harper-Brown 49.75 (21 votes), 9% reporting
HD108: Meyer 48, Westcott 29, Alley 23, 12% reporting — means there is still a lot of this district left to impact the SD16 race
HD112: Button 56, Patterson 44, 8% reporting
HD115: Rinaldi 50.6, Ratliff 49.4 (61 votes), 6% reporting
HARRIS CO. UPDATE
SD15: Whitmire 76, LaCroix 24, 52% reporting
HD131: Allen 90, Okorafor 10, 65% reporting
HD145: Alvarado 86, Delgado 14, 73% reporting
HD129: Paul 29, Berg 24, Perry 17, Cain 11, Huls 10, 31% reporting
HD132: Schofield 50.8, Hodge 18, Perryman 15.7, Franks 15.4, 4% reporting
HD134: Davis 71, Parker 29, 74% reporting
HD150: Riddle 78, Noun 22, 21% reporting
9:15 p.m.
TRAVIS EV is in:
SD25: Campbell 58, Chan 26, Novak 15 — looking highly likely Campbell wins w/o runoff as she was at 54% in other counties’ EV
LTGOV: Dewhurst 34, Patrick 29, Patterson 21
ELSEWHERE:
HD1: Lamar Co. appears to be 100% reported, but the HD1 numbers are odd. It is the only race in that county that saw significant movement between EV and ED voters. In EV, Lavender won 58% of the vote. In ED, VanDeaver won 60%. Odds are, one of these two sets of numbers is misreported.
HD53: Looking like a runoff between Murr (46%) and Henneke (29%).
HD59: Sheffield still hovering around 60% with 53% reporting.
HD81: Landgraf 58, Keith 42 with 49% reporting.
TRAVIS CO JUDGE: Eckhardt 53, Brown 47 in EV
9 p.m.
Key GOP Statewides (9% reporting)
GOV: Abbott 92, Fritsch 4
LTGOV: Patrick 44, Dewhurst 27, Staples 17, Patterson 12
AG: Paxton 43, Branch 32, Smitherman 25
COMP: Hegar 48, Hilderbran 29, Medina 18
AGRIC: Miller 38, Merritt 21, Opiela 15, Cotten 15
RRC: Christian 41, Sitton 32, Berger 16, Boyuls 10
SCCJ: Hecht 58, Talton 42
SC6: Brown 73, Pool 27
SC8: Johnson 63, McCally 37
Key DEM Statewides (14% reporting)
SEN: Alameel 49, Rogers 21, Scherr 17
GOV: Davis 76, Madrigal 24
AGRIC: Hogan 41, Friedman 38, Fitzsimons 21
RRC: Brown 63, Henry 37
A quick glance at the Democrats in Dallas Co., early voting only
CD30: EBJ 71, Caraway 29
HD105: Motley 48, Meza 30, Montgomery 22
HD109: Giddings 88, Gregory 12
HD110: Rose 55, Crenshaw 45 — a surprising result given that Crenshaw is ineligible to run
Elsewhere
CD36: Looking like Babin and Streusand are pulling away from the pack
