Nov 2, 2020 | Campaign News
Election Day is finally here. Our live coverage will begin at 7 p.m. at txelects.com/live. In addition to the results and analysis we normally provide, we’ve added a “scoreboard” powered by the Texas Tribune and its partner Decision Desk HQ. The scoreboard has been...
Oct 29, 2020 | Campaign News
More than half of the state’s registered voters have already voted. Through yesterday (Wednesday), the first-ever 16th day of early voting, at least 8.5M Texans have already cast ballots, equivalent to more than 95% of the total votes cast for president in the 2016...
Oct 26, 2020 | Campaign News
Three new polls paint a picture of a close but muddled presidential race in Texas and leads of various sizes for U.S. Sen. John Cornyn (R): The Univ. of Houston Hobby School of Public Affairs poll (U of H) finds Trump leading Biden, 50%-45%, and Cornyn leading...
Oct 25, 2020 | Campaign News
Democratic challenger Joe Biden leads President Trump, 48%-45%, with 5% undecided, according to a new Dallas Morning News/Univ. of Texas-Tyler poll (PDF). Prior UT-Tyler polls have shown Trump leading by two in September, Biden by five in July and a tied race in...
Oct 22, 2020 | Campaign Finance
Congressional candidates on the general election ballot were required to file their pre-general election reports today (Thursday). These reports disclose contributions received and expenditures made during the first two weeks of October. Contribution totals include...
Oct 22, 2020 | Campaign News
As of yesterday (Wednesday), the ninth day of early voting, 5.9M Texans have already cast ballots, which is 34.7% of registered voters. That is already more early votes cast than in any election aside from 2018 (5.99M), which was almost certainly surpassed today...
Oct 21, 2020 | Campaign News
A new Quinnipiac Univ. poll finds President Trump and Democratic challenger Joe Biden tied, 47%-47%. Trump led, 50%-45%, in the university’s September poll. Trump leads among men, 53%-39%, while Biden leads among women, 54%-42%. Trump leads among all Anglo voters,...
Oct 20, 2020 | Campaign News
Early voting: Yesterday (Monday) was the seventh day of the early voting period, which typically beings on a Monday but this year started on a Tuesday. Looking at the 15 counties with the most registered voters, 3.25M voters have cast their ballots so far,...
Oct 19, 2020 | Campaign News
Early voting continues through October 30. Today (Monday) was the seventh day of early voting, which began last Tuesday. Turnout continues to be record-breaking. Through yesterday (Sunday), more than 4M Texans have already cast ballots in person or by mail statewide,...
Oct 18, 2020 | Political Climate
Our latest model run moves the presidential race in Texas to Toss Up and projects a narrow Democratic majority in the Texas House when the Legislature convenes in January. Another four Republican-held House seats are within 2 percentage points of potentially adding to...
Oct 15, 2020 | Campaign Finance
Congressional candidates on the general election ballot raised more than $60M during the third quarter of 2020. In a number of races – the U.S. Senate race an exception – the candidates’ fundraising totals exceeded the same period in 2018. SEN (Lean Republican):...
Oct 15, 2020 | Campaign News
Early voting continued today (Thursday), the third day of the early voting period, for the November 3 general election. Voter counts provided to and reported by the Secretary of State remain incomplete and, in some cases, erroneous. It appears that at least 1.75M...