Nov 1, 2018 | Campaign Finance
“Late-train” money is flowing into close Congressional races but largely ignoring state races as the election campaign nears its end. Part of this disparity is due to the dates covered. Congressional candidates began disclosing contributions in “24-hour” reports on...
Oct 30, 2018 | Campaign Finance
Opposed state and legislative candidates were required to file 8-day-out campaign finance reports yesterday (Monday). These reports include contributions received and expenditures made between September 28 and October 27. We are in the process of updating our Crib...
Oct 21, 2018 | Campaign News
Early voting in person begins tomorrow (Monday) and runs for 12 days through November 2. Turnout on Day 1 includes all mail ballots received up to and including that day. That, combined with initial enthusiasm of people wishing to vote as quickly as possible, causes...
Oct 17, 2018 | Political Climate
Back in July, as part of our series of analyses identifying districts potentially in play, we found that a challenging party’s candidate raised at least half as much as the incumbent party’s candidate in 90% of the Texas legislative and congressional seats that were...
Oct 10, 2018 | breaking-news, Campaign Finance
State, legislative and local (where required) candidates facing general election opponents were required to file 30-day-out campaign finance reports yesterday. Most of those have become available online today. This report looks at key statewide and Senate races. A...
Oct 9, 2018 | Campaign News
Campaign Finance: State, legislative and local (where required) candidates facing general election opponents are required to file 30-day-out campaign finance reports today (Tuesday). These reports are expected to be available online sometime tomorrow (Wednesday), at...
Sep 27, 2018 | Political Climate
We continue our look at districts potentially in play in November with our first statewide exploration of straight-party voting trends in Republican-held districts. Prior analyses have looked at districts that are bluer than the state as a whole, districts won by...
Sep 24, 2018 | Ads, Campaign News
Tuesday is National Voter Registration Day. October 9 is the deadline for Texans to register to vote to participate in November 6 general election. GOV: The campaign of Gov. Greg Abbott (R) released a new ad, “Keeping Texans Safe,” focused on border security and...
Sep 13, 2018 | Campaign News
SD19 special: Early voting concludes tomorrow (Friday) for Tuesday’s special runoff election between Pleasanton retired game warden Pete Flores (R) and former Rep. and U.S. Rep. Pete Gallego (D-Alpine). Early voting turnout from several of the district’s largest...
Sep 12, 2018 | Ads, Campaign News
SD10: The Dallas Morning News endorsed Democratic challenger Beverly Powell over Sen. Konni Burton (R-Colleyville). SD19 special: Through three days of early voting (out of five), 4,550 people have voted in person in Bexar Co. That figure excludes ballots by mail. A...
Sep 10, 2018 | House Race Analyses, Political Climate, Senate Race Analyses
The general election is eight weeks away, and early voting begins six weeks from today. Traditionally, we have rated contested elections on a 5-star scale, which one star indicating a very low-interest race with no chance of flipping and five stars indicating a...
Aug 19, 2018 | Campaign News
Filing Deadlines: Monday is the deadline for write-in candidates to file for a place on the general election ballot. It is also the deadline for municipal, school board and other local candidates to file for offices on the general election ballot. HD109 open: Glenn...