May 13, 2022 | Campaign Finance, Campaign News
Early voting for the May 24 runoff election begins Monday. Congressional candidates facing runoffs were required to file their pre-runoff campaign finance reportsyesterday (Thursday). These reports disclose contributions received and expenditures made between April 1...
May 11, 2022 | Campaign News
Early voting for the May 24 runoff election begins Monday. AG (Lean R): Atty. Gen. Ken Paxton (R) leads Land Comm. George P. Bush (R), 58%-31%, according to a new poll commissioned by Defend Texas Liberty PAC, virtually unchanged from its April poll. LAND open (Likely...
Apr 28, 2022 | Campaign News
The Congressional Leadership Fund Super PAC reserved more than $5M in advertising in the San Antonio market for CD28 ($3.9M) and CD15 ($2.2M). The Super PAC, which is aligned with U.S. House Republican leadership, announced a total of $125M in reservations, $111M of...
Apr 4, 2022 | Campaign News
A new poll commissioned by Defend Texas Liberty PAC shows its endorsed candidates easily winning, or at least leading, their respective runoff opponents, by at least 24 percentage points. Gen. Ken Paxton (R) leads Land Comm. George P. Bush (R), 50%-39%, with undecided...
Mar 30, 2022 | Campaign News
AG (Lean R): The Texas AFL-CIO endorsed Joe Jaworski (D) in the runoff over Rochelle Garza. The union did not endorse in the primary. LAND open (Likely R): The Texas AFL-CIO endorsed Jay Kleberg (D) in the runoff over Sandragrace Martinez. The union previously...
Mar 20, 2022 | By the Numbers
83% Winning percentage of runoff candidates who finished 10% or more ahead of their challenger in the primary election since 2002. There have been 204 “open” primary runoff elections for state, legislative and federal offices since 2002, and the candidate who finished...
Mar 14, 2022 | Campaign News
LTGOV (Lean R): Mike Collier (D) was endorsed by 17 Democratic representatives, including North Texas Reps. Rafael Anchia (D-Dallas), Terry Meza (D-Irving) and Victoria Neave (D-Dallas). He faces Rep. Michelle Beckley (D-Carrollton) in the runoff. LAND open (Likely...
Mar 13, 2022 | Political Climate
Now that the dust has (almost) settled from the March 1 primary election, we like to go back and look at the storylines we were watching heading into Election Day. Statewides in Runoff or Runoffs? Turns out, it was runoffs. For the first time since 2002, more than one...
Mar 3, 2022 | Campaign Finance
We have analyzed historical campaign finance data and election results since 2006 to see how open-seat candidates fared in significant primary races based on their relative fundraising ranks. Unsurprisingly, we found a strong correlation between fundraising rank and...
Mar 2, 2022 | Political Climate
Note: We will not have percentages for some races, including all statewide races, because of delays in counting Harris Co.’s votes (and some others including Dallas and Tarrant Cos.). Gov. Greg Abbott (R) and former U.S. Rep. Beto O’Rourke (D) cruised to their...
Feb 28, 2022 | Political Climate
Tomorrow (Tuesday), Texas voters will cast ballots in the first-in-the-Nation primary election of this mid-term cycle. Our live coverage of results and analysis will begin at about 7 p.m. CT and can be found at txelects.com/live. Here are some of the storylines we’re...
Feb 27, 2022 | Campaign Finance, House Race Analyses, Senate Race Analyses, Statewide Race Analyses
We previously analyzed historical campaign finance data and election results since 2006 to see how open-seat candidates fared in open primary races based on their relative fundraising ranks. Unsurprisingly, we found a strong correlation between fundraising rank and...
