Mar 3, 2022 | Campaign Finance
We have analyzed historical campaign finance data and election results since 2006 to see how open-seat candidates fared in significant primary races based on their relative fundraising ranks. Unsurprisingly, we found a strong correlation between fundraising rank and...
Mar 2, 2022 | Political Climate
Note: We will not have percentages for some races, including all statewide races, because of delays in counting Harris Co.’s votes (and some others including Dallas and Tarrant Cos.). Gov. Greg Abbott (R) and former U.S. Rep. Beto O’Rourke (D) cruised to their...
Feb 28, 2022 | Political Climate
Tomorrow (Tuesday), Texas voters will cast ballots in the first-in-the-Nation primary election of this mid-term cycle. Our live coverage of results and analysis will begin at about 7 p.m. CT and can be found at txelects.com/live. Here are some of the storylines we’re...
Feb 27, 2022 | Campaign Finance, House Race Analyses, Senate Race Analyses, Statewide Race Analyses
We previously analyzed historical campaign finance data and election results since 2006 to see how open-seat candidates fared in open primary races based on their relative fundraising ranks. Unsurprisingly, we found a strong correlation between fundraising rank and...
Feb 23, 2022 | breaking-news, Campaign Finance, Statewide Race Analyses
Statewide candidates facing primary opposition raised nearly $19M and spent more than $36M during the past month, according to their 8-day-out campaign finance reports. These reports disclose contributions received and expenditures made between January 21 and February...
Feb 10, 2022 | Campaign News
Early voting for the March 1 primary begins Monday. HD38 open (Safe D): Gov. Greg Abbott (R) ordered a May 7 special election to fill the unexpired term of Rep. Eddie Lucio III (D-XX), who resigned. Candidates must file by March 7. Early voting will begin on April 25...
Feb 9, 2022 | Campaign News
Early voting for the March 1 primary begins Monday. AG (Lean R): The National Rifle Assoc. endorsed Atty. Gen. Ken Paxton (R), who received an A+ grade from the group. The group rated his primary challengers Land Comm. George P. Bush (R) as A, U.S. Rep. Louie Gohmert...
Jan 30, 2022 | Political Climate
Gov. Greg Abbott (R) and Beto O’Rourke (D) comfortably leads their primary challengers and appears poised to win their respective nominations outright, according to the a pair of polls released this weekend. Abbott has the support of 58% of “all primary voters” and...
Jan 24, 2022 | Campaign News
Sen. Pete Flores (R-Pleasanton) and Reps. Mayes Middleton (R-Wallisville) and Tan Parker (R-Flower Mound) each released a statement rejecting the conservative LIBRE Initiative’s endorsement. All three cited the group’s support for amnesty for undocumented immigrants...
Jan 19, 2022 | Campaign Finance
Statewide and legislative candidates on the ballot this year raised more than $75M during the last half of 2021 and ended the year with more than $200M on hand. Nearly $3 out of every $7 raised by those candidates went to Gov. Greg Abbott (R), two of his primary...
Jan 12, 2022 | Campaign News
Former Republican Party Chair Allen West’s (R) campaign released an internal poll (PDF via Texas Tribune) showing him leading Gov. Greg Abbott (R), 38%-33%, among “likely primary voters.” The poll was conducted by the Joe Basel-owned Paradigm. Basel is the former head...
Jan 10, 2022 | Campaign News
The 88th Texas Legislature, Regular Session beings one year from today (Monday). LAND (Likely R): Sen. Dawn Buckingham’s (R-Lakeway) campaign released a list of endorsements from 44 Republican state representatives including Rep. James White (R-Hillister), who is...