Jul 22, 2021 | Campaign News
CD6 special: Early voting concludes tomorrow (Friday) for Tuesday’s special runoff election. In Tarrant Co., in-person turnout rose again today (Thursday), bringing the four-day total of in-person and absentee voters to nearly 10K (2.8% of registered voters). In Ellis...
Jan 12, 2021 | Campaign News
The 87th Regular Session of the Texas Legislature convened at noon today (Tuesday). Rep. Dade Phelan (R-Beaumont) was the only member nominated for Speaker, and he was elected by a 143-2 vote. Newly elected Reps. Jeff Cason (R-Bedford) and Bryan Slaton (R-Royse City)...
Nov 29, 2020 | Political Climate
For the second straight election cycle, a Democrat has won the very top race on the ballot in Tarrant Co. President-elect Joe Biden narrowly carried the county over President Trump, 49.3%-49.1%, a margin of just under 2K votes. Two years ago, former U.S. Rep. Beto...
Nov 8, 2020 | General Elections, House Race Analyses
This is the first in a series of periodic analyses of the 2020 general election. The signs pointed to further Democratic gains in the Texas House of Representatives. Entering Election Day, there were 83 Republican-held seats and 67 Democrat-held seats. Two years...
Nov 1, 2020 | House Race Analyses, Political Climate
Yesterday (Saturday), we posed two fundamental questions that will be answered Tuesday, or shortly thereafter. We gave our best guess on the first question, whether Joe Biden will become the first Democratic presidential nominee to carry Texas since 1976 (No, but...
Oct 27, 2020 | breaking-news, Campaign Finance
The battle for the Texas House got expensive. Candidates in competitive seats collectively raised $39.3M during the past month, much of through in-kind contributions from a handful of sources. Republicans, bolstered by huge spending by Texans for Lawsuit Reform...
Oct 18, 2020 | Political Climate
Our latest model run moves the presidential race in Texas to Toss Up and projects a narrow Democratic majority in the Texas House when the Legislature convenes in January. Another four Republican-held House seats are within 2 percentage points of potentially adding to...
Oct 15, 2020 | Campaign News
Early voting continued today (Thursday), the third day of the early voting period, for the November 3 general election. Voter counts provided to and reported by the Secretary of State remain incomplete and, in some cases, erroneous. It appears that at least 1.75M...
Oct 13, 2020 | Campaign News
Early voting has begun across Texas for the November 3 general election and continues through October 30. By most accounts, turnout is off to a torrid start. The Harris Co. Clerk’s office tweeted that 128K people voted in person today, plus 41K absentee ballots...
Oct 8, 2020 | Campaign News
SC6 (Lean Republican): The Dallas Morning News endorsed Justice Jane Bland (R). HD67 (Toss Up): Rep. Jeff Leach’s (R-Allen) campaign released a new ad, “Unfit,” criticizing Democratic challenger Lorenzo Sanchez on law enforcement issues. HD92 open (Lean Republican):...
Oct 6, 2020 | Campaign Finance
Statewide and legislative candidates facing general election opposition reported raising nearly $27M since July 1. Democrats accounted for $12.4M of that figure, and Republican candidates raised $14.6M. Sixteen challengers out-raised their incumbent opponents for the...
Sep 24, 2020 | Campaign News
SD30 special (Safe Republican): Early voting ends tomorrow (Friday) for the September 29 special election. Through yesterday (Wednesday), nearly 34K people have voted early in person or by mail. RRC open (Lean Republican): Democratic nominee Chrysta Castañeda’s...