Early Voting Continues Record-setting Pace

Early voting in person began Monday and runs through November 2. First, a look back at historic Day 1. More than 572K people voted early in person on Monday, or their mail ballots were returned by Monday, in the 15 counties with the most registered voters. That is...

Identifying Districts Potentially in Play, Part 7

We have been exploring seats potentially in play by looking at specific metrics defining not only how a district voted in the most recent election but also how those voting patterns have changed over time. We also looked at fundraising totals and their historic impact...

Endorsements, Ads and Other News for October 18

Early voting for the November 6 general election begins Monday. GOV: The campaign of former Dallas Co. Sheriff Lupe Valdez (D) released a new ad, “Lone Star,” a biographical spot. https://www.youtube.com/watch?time_continue=1&v=BVSKHUPdG_4 Meanwhile, the Dallas...

Identifying Districts Potentially in Play, Part 6

Back in July, as part of our series of analyses identifying districts potentially in play, we found that a challenging party’s candidate raised at least half as much as the incumbent party’s candidate in 90% of the Texas legislative and congressional seats that were...

Key House Race Campaign Finance Results

Note: This report has been updated since we issued our Breaking News alert. State, legislative and local (where required) candidates facing general election opponents were required to file 30-day-out campaign finance reports yesterday. Most of those have become...

Identifying Districts Potentially in Play, Part 5

Last week we explored the shift in straight-party voting advantage in Republican-held districts toward the Democrats. Today we explore each party’s roles in those shifts. Between 2012 and 2016, Democrats either cut into the Republican straight-party advantage or...

Endorsements, Ads and Other News for October 2

SD16: Quorum Report reported former Sen. Bob Deuell (R-Greenville) endorsed Democratic challenger Nathan Johnson over Sen. Don Huffines (R-Dallas) a day after endorsing the Democratic challenger to Sen. Bob Hall (R-Edgewood), who ousted Deuell in the 2014 Republican...

Ads, Endorsements and News for October 1

GOV: The campaign of Gov. Greg Abbott (R) released a two-minute ad, “Hope: Julie’s Story,” telling the story of a mother whose son was paralyzed in the Sutherland Springs mass shooting. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XHYD1PCWRHE LTGOV: The campaign of Lt. Gov. Dan...

Identifying Districts Potentially in Play, Part 4

We continue our look at districts potentially in play in November with our first statewide exploration of straight-party voting trends in Republican-held districts. Prior analyses have looked at districts that are bluer than the state as a whole, districts won by...

Ads and Endorsement News for September 18

TXBIZ PAC: The Texas Assoc. of Business TXBIZ PAC released its slate of legislative endorsements for the general election. In general, the PAC endorsed Republican incumbents and open-seat nominees. Notably, the PAC endorsed Democratic challenger Julie Johnson over...

Endorsement News for September 16

SD30 open: The Dallas Morning News endorsed Bridgeport council member Kevin Lopez (D) over Rep. Pat Fallon (R-Frisco). HD65: The Dallas Morning News endorsed Rep. Ron Simmons (R-Carrollton). HD115: Rep. Matt Rinadi’s (R-Irving) campaign released a new ad, “Our...

Three Senate Debates and Other News for September 14

SEN: The campaigns of U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz (R) and U.S. Rep. Beto O’Rourke (D-El Paso) have agreed to three debates: September 21 in Dallas September 30 in Houston; and October 16 in San Antonio. The candidates will stand behind podiums for the Dallas and San Antonio...