Identifying Districts Potentially in Play, Part 7

We have been exploring seats potentially in play by looking at specific metrics defining not only how a district voted in the most recent election but also how those voting patterns have changed over time. We also looked at fundraising totals and their historic impact...

Endorsements, Ads and Other News for October 18

Early voting for the November 6 general election begins Monday. GOV: The campaign of former Dallas Co. Sheriff Lupe Valdez (D) released a new ad, “Lone Star,” a biographical spot. Meanwhile, the Dallas Morning News, San Antonio Express-News and Longview News-Journal...

Endorsement and Ad News for October 17

LTGOV: The Dallas Morning News endorsed Democratic challenger Mike Collier over Lt. Gov. Dan Patrick (R). LAND: The San Antonio Express-News endorsed Comm. George P. Bush (R). HD103: The Dallas Morning News endorsed Rep. Rafael Anchia (D-Dallas). HD114 open: The Lisa...

Identifying Districts Potentially in Play, Part 6

Back in July, as part of our series of analyses identifying districts potentially in play, we found that a challenging party’s candidate raised at least half as much as the incumbent party’s candidate in 90% of the Texas legislative and congressional seats that were...

Sen. Flores Sworn in and Other News for October 12

SD19: Sen. Pete Flores (R-Pleasanton) was sworn in today (Friday) during a ceremony in the Senate Chamber. Flores defeated former Rep. and U.S. Rep. Pete Gallego (D-Alpine) in last month’s special runoff election, which was triggered by the resignation of former Sen....

Endorsement News for October 11

GOV: Humorist Kinky Friedman, himself a former independent candidate for the state’s highest office, endorsed Libertarian nominee Mark Tippetts. “They still try to screw the Libertarians and independents,” Friedman said in a statement. “Ironically, most Texans are...

Key House Race Campaign Finance Results

Note: This report has been updated since we issued our Breaking News alert. State, legislative and local (where required) candidates facing general election opponents were required to file 30-day-out campaign finance reports yesterday. Most of those have become...

Identifying Districts Potentially in Play, Part 5

Last week we explored the shift in straight-party voting advantage in Republican-held districts toward the Democrats. Today we explore each party’s roles in those shifts. Between 2012 and 2016, Democrats either cut into the Republican straight-party advantage or...

Ads, Endorsements and News for October 1

GOV: The campaign of Gov. Greg Abbott (R) released a two-minute ad, “Hope: Julie’s Story,” telling the story of a mother whose son was paralyzed in the Sutherland Springs mass shooting. LTGOV: The campaign of Lt. Gov. Dan Patrick (R) released a new ad focused on...

Identifying Districts Potentially in Play, Part 4

We continue our look at districts potentially in play in November with our first statewide exploration of straight-party voting trends in Republican-held districts. Prior analyses have looked at districts that are bluer than the state as a whole, districts won by...

Ads and Endorsement News for September 18

TXBIZ PAC: The Texas Assoc. of Business TXBIZ PAC released its slate of legislative endorsements for the general election. In general, the PAC endorsed Republican incumbents and open-seat nominees. Notably, the PAC endorsed Democratic challenger Julie Johnson over...