State of Play for Open-seat Races

Last week, we explored how the success rate of open-seat primary candidates varied with how their contribution totals ranked among their rival candidates. In general, money has been a pretty good predictor of primary success since at least 2006, the first year of our...

Separation Seen in Some House Open-seat Races

January semiannual reports were due for state officeholders and candidates on Tuesday. They cover contributions received and expenditures made during the second half of 2017. For most primary challengers and open-seat candidates, they are the first window into their...

Day After Filing Deadline News, Updates and Corrections

The filing deadline for a spot on the 2018 primary ballot has passed, but the candidate rosters are not yet finalized. The parties have until December 19 to submit their final certified candidate lists to the Secretary of State. Corrections We corrected three mistakes...

Early Voting Ends and Other Election News for November 3

Early voting in person concluded today. Turnout in the state’s 15 most populous counties creeped past 2% by the end of yesterday. Through the first 11 days of early voting, less than 200K people voted in those counties out of 9.8M registered voters. This is less than...

Empower Texans Endorses First Challengers of 2018

Texans for Fiscal Responsibility/Empower Texans released a series of legislative primary endorsements focusing on challengers and open-seat races. HD2: The group endorsed challenger Bryan Slaton in his rematch against Rep. Dan Flynn (R-Van). The group previously...

Election News for November 1

Early Voting continues for the November 6 general and constitutional amendment election through Friday. Through Tuesday, the ninth day of early voting, less than 1.6% of registered voters in the state’s 15 most populous counties had cast ballots in person or by mail,...

10 New Candidates Take Steps Toward 2018 Campaigns

GOV: Arlington resident Edward Lee Nash formed a campaign committee for a potential challenge of Gov. Greg Abbott (R). We were unable to determine his occupation and political affiliation definitively. HD10: Seven Points resident Matt Savino formed a campaign...

SD2: Burkett Announces Challenge of Hall

Four-term Rep. Cindy Burkett (R-Sunnyvale) announced she would challenge Sen. Bob Hall (R-Edgewood) in the Republican primary. “Bob Hall’s heart is in the right place, but he’s not been effective in promoting the values we share,” Burkett said in an interview with the...

Candidate Announcements and Filings for August 25

GOV: Plano entrepreneur and music executive Byron Bradford established a campaign committee for a potential challenge of Gov. Greg Abbott (R) as an independent. SD8: The Phillip Huffines campaign announced the endorsement of 39 Republican precinct chairs. Meanwhile,...