May 25, 2022 | Election Night Returns
As runoff elections go, it was a pretty good night to be an incumbent, or a former incumbent. Atty. Gen. Ken Paxton (R) and Railroad Comm. Wayne Christian (R) easily turned aside their challengers to secure nominations for a third and second term, respectively. Paxton...
May 13, 2022 | Campaign Finance, Campaign News
Early voting for the May 24 runoff election begins Monday. Congressional candidates facing runoffs were required to file their pre-runoff campaign finance reportsyesterday (Thursday). These reports disclose contributions received and expenditures made between April 1...
May 10, 2022 | Campaign News
Early voting for the May 24 runoff election begins Monday. AG (Lean R): The campaign of Atty. Gen. Ken Paxton (R) released a new ad criticizing “liberal Land Commissioner” George P. Bush (R) for his “woke plan” for the Alamo. HD93 open (Likely R): Texas Alliance for...
May 4, 2022 | Campaign News
A new Univ. of Texas/Texas Politics Project poll shows Gov. Greg Abbott (R) leads Democratic challenger Beto O’Rourke, 48%-37%, a 1-point larger margin from the school’s February poll. Abbott’s favorability rating is 46/40 (+6) while O’Rourke is underwater at 38/47...
May 1, 2022 | Campaign News
Jolanda Jones (D) out-raised Danielle Keys Bess (D), $41K to $36K, and outspent her, $53K to $22K, according to the HD147 (Safe D) special election candidates’ 8-day-out campaign finance reports. Jones has a $63K to $14K advantage in cash on hand going into this...
Apr 28, 2022 | Campaign News
The Congressional Leadership Fund Super PAC reserved more than $5M in advertising in the San Antonio market for CD28 ($3.9M) and CD15 ($2.2M). The Super PAC, which is aligned with U.S. House Republican leadership, announced a total of $125M in reservations, $111M of...
Apr 26, 2022 | Campaign News
Early voting continues for the May 7 general, special and constitutional amendment elections. Around 1% of Texas registered voters cast ballots in person or by mail through Monday, the first day of early voting, in the constitutional amendment election. Because there...
Apr 17, 2022 | Campaign Finance, Campaign News
U.S. Rep. Henry Cuellar (D-Laredo) is “not a target” of a federal investigation that included an FBI raid on his home and campaign headquarters earlier this year, according to his attorney. The raid occurred less than a month before early voting began for the March...
Apr 4, 2022 | Campaign News
A new poll commissioned by Defend Texas Liberty PAC shows its endorsed candidates easily winning, or at least leading, their respective runoff opponents, by at least 24 percentage points. Gen. Ken Paxton (R) leads Land Comm. George P. Bush (R), 50%-39%, with undecided...
Mar 27, 2022 | By the Numbers
30% Winning percentage of incumbent statewide officials, legislators and members of Congress in primary runoffs since 1996. Last week, we explored the historical success rates of first-place candidates entering primary runoffs for “open” seats, meaning no incumbent in...
Mar 20, 2022 | By the Numbers
83% Winning percentage of runoff candidates who finished 10% or more ahead of their challenger in the primary election since 2002. There have been 204 “open” primary runoff elections for state, legislative and federal offices since 2002, and the candidate who finished...
Mar 13, 2022 | Political Climate
Now that the dust has (almost) settled from the March 1 primary election, we like to go back and look at the storylines we were watching heading into Election Day. Statewides in Runoff or Runoffs? Turns out, it was runoffs. For the first time since 2002, more than one...
