By the Numbers: Breaking 20

157 Number of counties in which David Alameel, the 2014 Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate, failed to receive at least 20% of the vote. U.S. Rep. Beto O’Rourke (D-El Paso), the Democratic nominee challenging U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz (R), recently completed a rare quest. He...

By the Numbers: Democratic Women

92% Percent of Democratic primary races featuring (1) no incumbent and (2) at least one male and one female candidate that a woman won outright or advanced to a runoff. In this analysis, we’re looking at Democratic primary races for Congress, statewide office, the...

By the Numbers: Open-seat Races with Two Candidates

85% Winning percentage of open-seat candidates when they out-raise a single primary opponent since 2006. It turns out money has been an even better predictor of open-seat races when a runoff isn’t a possibility. We previously looked at the track record for open-seat...

By the Numbers: Money and Open-seat Races

77% Percent of candidates raising the most money who won an open-seat primary outright or advanced to a runoff since 2006. We looked at every open-seat primary race* for statewide, legislative and congressional office with three or more candidates during the last six...

By the Numbers: Rematches in Primaries

35 Number of primary election rematches for legislative seats since 2002. The winner of the most recent match-up is 22-13 in rematches, including a 6-1 record in 2016 and a 14-5 record since 2012. Former representatives are 6-5 in rematches against the candidates who...

By the Numbers: Outperforming Trump

4 Number of Republican candidates for state representative whose vote percentage was exceeded by Donald Trump in the 2016 general election. There were 53 state House seats contested by a Republican and a Democrat in 2016. In 49 of those races, the Republican state...

By the Numbers: Partisan Competition for County Office

131 Number of counties, out of 254, in which only one party fielded candidates for every county-level office up for election in 2018 While droves of candidates running for state and federal office has led to the highest percentage of contested seats in decades, the...

By the Numbers: Filed Candidates

887 Number of Republicans, Democrats, Libertarians, Greens and independents who filed for offices we track – Texas statewide, legislative, State Board of Education and federal seats – for 2018, by far the highest number in at least 26 years. The number of candidates...

By the Numbers: Facing Multiple Primary Opponents

21 Number of incumbent statewide officials, legislators and members of the Texas congressional delegation facing two or more primary opponents in 2018, the highest number for any election year since at least 1996. An additional 19 open seats — 1 statewide, 10 House...

By the Numbers: Returning to the House

49% Success rate of the 35 former representatives who have asked voters since 2000 to return them to the House after at least a session away. At least one former representative has returned to the chamber after an absence in every general election since 2002. Five...

By the Numbers: General Election Turnout

39th Where turnout from last nights’s general and constitutional amendment election ranks among the last 40 years of November general elections. Only the 2011 general election (5.37%) was worse. Just 5.8% of registered voters cast ballots in this week’s...

By the Numbers: Election Issues and Special Sessions

At Least 34 Number of special sessions of the Texas Legislature for which at least one election-related issue was part of the call since 1921. Gov. Greg Abbott has issued a call for a special session to convene next week, and ballot-by-mail voter fraud is one of the...