The New York Times’s Jonathan Martin reported that U.S. Rep. Kenny Marchant (R-Coppell) is expected to announce his retirement tomorrow (Monday), which would make him the fourth Texas Republican in Congress to forego seeking re-election in less than two weeks. He would join U.S. Reps. Mike Conaway (R-Midland), Will Hurd (R-San Antonio) and Pete Olson (R-Sugar Land).

Marchant’s campaign has previously denied rumors he was retiring.

U.S. Rep. Kenny Marchant

U.S. Rep. Kenny Marchant

Marchant reported having nearly $2.2M on hand as of June 30 after raising $209K during the second quarter. He was out-raised by Democratic challenger Kim Olson for the period ($278K) and the other six potential Democratic challengers raised more money combined than the incumbent during the quarter.

The precincts currently comprising CD24 were 13 percentage points redder than the state as a whole in 2002 and have become steadily more competitive. In 2018, they were nearly 2 percentage bluer than the state as a whole. Marchant had historically over-performed the average Republican by up to 2.4 percentage points until 2018, when he under-performed it by nearly half a percentage point. Marchant won re-election over Jan McDowell, 51%-48%, in a district carried by Beto O’Rourke over U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz (R), 51%-48%. Donald Trump carried the district over Hillary Clinton, 50%-44%, in 2016. Marchant won re-election that year, 56%-39%, against McDowell.

The district includes portions of northwestern Dallas Co., southern and southeastern Denton Co. and northeast Tarrant Co. In 2018, Marchant lost the Dallas Co. portion by nearly 14K votes (55%-43%) and Denton Co. by just over 1K votes (51%-48%), but his 23K-vote margin in Tarrant Co. (60%-38%) gave him the victory over McDowell.

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