HD148 special: Turns out Houston community organizer Anna Nuñez (D) did file for the seat being vacated by Rep. Jessica Farrar (D-Houston), making it a 15-candidate field. She was not included in a list of candidates posted by the Secretary of State’s office last night. Our Crib Sheet has been updated accordingly.

Lyceum Survey: Texas Lyceum released the results of its 2019 Texas Statewide Survey (pdf). Notable election-related findings include:

  • President Trump’s net approval rating is 48/51. Men (54/36) view Trump’s job performance much more favorably than women (44/55), as do respondents 65 and older (61/39) compared to respondents under 30 (41/59).
  • 58% of respondents said they thought the country was on the “wrong track.”
  • Greg Abbott’s (R) net approval rating is 67/33. Lt. Gov. Dan Patrick’s (R) rating is 60/35.
  • Respondents under 30 were nearly twice as likely to say they would vote in the Democratic primary (46%) than in the Republican primary (24%).
  • The top four Democratic presidential candidates were Joe Biden (24%), former U.S. Rep. Beto O’Rourke (18%), Elizabeth Warren (15%) and Bernie Sanders (13%). No one else polled above 4%. O’Rourke (21%) and Sanders (18%) led among respondents under 30, while respondents 65 and older prefer Biden (43%) and Warren (22%).
  • 62% of respondents support automatic voter registration, 61% support same-day registration at the polls and 80% support automatic updates to registrations when a voter moves. Automatically removing “inaccurate and duplicate registrations from voter lists” was supported by 80% of respondents, and 81% support voter identification requirements. Only 26% of respondents support “conducting all elections by mail” and just 43% support online voting. Five out of every six respondents support requiring voting machines to “print a paper backup of the ballot.”

The survey of 1,200 adults was in the field August 16-25 and has a stated margin of error of ±2.83%.

CD1: Tyler cattle raiser Hank Gilbert established a campaign committee for a potential challenge of U.S. Rep. Louie Gohmert (R-Tyler) as a Democrat. Gilbert was the Democratic nominee for Agriculture Commissioner in 2006 (42%) and 2010 (36%), losing both general elections to Todd Staples.

CD7: A new poll conducted by a PAC aligned with U.S. House Republican leadership shows a statistical dead heat between U.S. Rep. Lizzie Fletcher (D-Houston) and potential Republican challenger Wesley Hunt. Fletcher trails Hunt, 45%-43%, a margin well within the poll’s stated margin of error of ±5.3%. Fletcher ousted incumbent U.S. Rep. John Culberson (R-Houston) by 5 percentage points last year.

CD31: Leander actor and former Olympic bobsledder Dan Janjigan established a campaign committee for a potential challenge of U.S. Rep. John Carter (R-Round Rock) as a Democrat. He is at least the 10th candidate to take a formal step toward seeking the Democratic nomination.

Corpus Christi: Mayor Joe McComb announced he would seek re-election to a full term.

©2019 Texas Election Source LLC