Early voting continues through Friday for the March 3 primary election. Through yesterday (Tuesday), the eighth day of early voting, more than 400K people have voted in the Democratic primary and 320K people have voted in the Republican primary in the 15 counties with the most registered voters. The Republican pace remains record-setting, barely eclipsing the 318K votes cast early by this point in 2016.

For Democrats, it is only the second time in history that at least 400K people have voted in these counties during the first eight days, joining 2008 (512K). In 2016 and 2018, it took 11 days of early voting to reach at least 400K voters. Democratic turnout is 65% ahead of 2016 and 221% ahead of 2012.

In the 15 counties with the most registered voters, 56% of all votes cast so far have been in the Democratic primary. In the rest of the state, 71% of all votes cast have been in the Republican primary, and more people have voted in the Republican primary in the other 239 counties than in the top 15. Three quarters of all Democratic voters have cast ballots in the top 15 counties.

In the 30 largest counties in the state, voters under 40 comprise 23% of the Democratic early vote and 7% of the early Republican vote, according to the latest analysis (PDF) by Republican strategist and data nerd Derek Ryan. Voters 70 and older make up 27% of the Democratic vote and 39% of the Republican early vote.

Subscribers can read the rest of this report.

©2020 Texas Election Source LLC